FlyingClimate
Model the CO2 and non-CO2 effects like nitrogen oxide emissions and contrail formation to analyse aviation's total warming footprint.
https://github.com/milankl/FlyingClimate
Category: Emissions
Sub Category: Emission Observation and Modeling
Last synced: about 20 hours ago
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Repository metadata
What goes up must come down again.
- Host: GitHub
- URL: https://github.com/milankl/FlyingClimate
- Owner: milankl
- License: gpl-3.0
- Created: 2020-11-20T15:29:47.000Z (over 4 years ago)
- Default Branch: main
- Last Pushed: 2021-11-12T11:32:02.000Z (over 3 years ago)
- Last Synced: 2024-10-29T21:00:02.713Z (6 months ago)
- Language: Jupyter Notebook
- Homepage:
- Size: 8.08 MB
- Stars: 14
- Watchers: 2
- Forks: 1
- Open Issues: 0
- Releases: 0
-
Metadata Files:
- Readme: README.md
- License: LICENSE
README.md
Quantifying aviation’s contribution to global warming
Supplementary data and scripts for
M Klöwer, MR Allen, DS Lee, SR Proud, L Gallagher and A Skowron, 2021.
Quantifying aviation’s contribution to global warming,
Environmental Research Letters, accepted. Preprint 10.1002/essoar.10507359.1
Abstract
Growth in aviation contributes more to global warming than is generally appreciated because
of the mix of climate pollutants it generates. Here, we model the CO2 and non-CO2 effects
like nitrogen oxide emissions and contrail formation to analyse aviation’s total warming footprint.
Aviation contributed approximately 4% to observed human-induced global warming to date, despite
being responsible for only 2.4% of global annual emissions of CO2. Aviation is projected to cause
a total of about 0.1˚C of warming by 2050, half of it to date and the other half over the next
three decades, should aviation’s pre-COVID growth resume. The industry would then contribute a
6-17% share to the remaining 0.3-0.8˚C to not exceed 1.5-2˚C of global warming. Under this scenario,
the reduction due to COVID-19 to date is small and is projected to only delay aviation’s warming
contribution by about 5 years. But the leveraging impact of growth also represents an opportunity:
Aviation’s contribution to further warming would be immediately halted by either a sustained annual
2.5% decrease in air traffic under the existing fuel mix, or a transition to a 90% carbon-neutral
fuel mix by 2050.
Contents
- Data can be found in
/data
- The main analyis and plotting notebook is
/scripts/aviation_warming.ipynb
. - Figure 1 is created in
/scripts/euro_flights.ipynb
.
Owner metadata
- Name: Milan Klöwer
- Login: milankl
- Email:
- Kind: user
- Description: Schmidt AI in Science Fellow at the University of Oxford. Previously MIT, PhD from Oxford, studied at GEOMAR Kiel, UNIS Svalbard, IUEM Brest.
- Website: milank.de
- Location:
- Twitter: milankloewer
- Company: University of Oxford
- Icon url: https://avatars.githubusercontent.com/u/25530332?u=9b53cdc2eed3379890d0ca41648503ea6f753c88&v=4
- Repositories: 57
- Last ynced at: 2024-06-11T15:56:35.970Z
- Profile URL: https://github.com/milankl
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Last synced: 6 days ago
Total Commits: 43
Total Committers: 3
Avg Commits per committer: 14.333
Development Distribution Score (DDS): 0.14
Commits in past year: 0
Committers in past year: 0
Avg Commits per committer in past year: 0.0
Development Distribution Score (DDS) in past year: 0.0
Name | Commits | |
---|---|---|
Milan K | m****r@g****e | 37 |
simonrp84 | s****d@p****k | 4 |
fizzydunlop | 7****p | 2 |
Committer domains:
- physics.ox.ac.uk: 1
- gmx.de: 1
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Last synced: 2 days ago
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Total pull requests: 22
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Average time to close pull requests: 20 minutes
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Total pull request authors: 3
Average comments per issue: 0
Average comments per pull request: 0.18
Merged pull request: 21
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Past year pull requests: 0
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- milankl (19)
- simonrp84 (2)
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